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RAID Rebuild Time Calculator

The RAID Rebuild Time Calculator estimates how long your array will spend in a degraded, data-at-risk state after a drive failure. Enter the Number of Drives, Drive Capacity, Drive Type, and RAID Level, set the I/O Load During Rebuild to reflect production workload competition, and click Calculate Rebuild Time to see estimated rebuild duration, data-at-risk window, and Uncorrectable Read Error (URE) probability with recommended actions.

RAID Level, Drive Count, Capacity and Rebuild Read Speed

Auto-set by drive type; editable for custom

0% = no load, 30% = moderate, 70% = heavy

Estimated Rebuild Duration, URE Risk and Double-Fault Probability

Rebuild Duration

Effective Rebuild Speed

Data at Risk

URE Probability

RAID rebuild detail: drive capacity, base and effective rebuild speed, data read, duration and URE probability
MetricValueNotes
Drive capacity Per failed drive
Base rebuild speed Unloaded sequential read
Effective rebuild speed After I/O load deduction
Total data read during rebuild From surviving drives
Rebuild duration Estimated wall-clock time
URE probability Chance of unrecoverable read error

HDD, SSD and NVMe RAID Rebuild Speeds and Estimated Duration

HDD, SSD and NVMe rebuild speed and estimated rebuild duration reference
Drive Type Base Read Speed Rebuild Speed (30% load) 8 TB Drive Rebuild URE Rate
7200 RPM HDD 150 MB/s~105 MB/s~21 hrs10^14–10^15
10K RPM HDD 200 MB/s~140 MB/s~16 hrs10^15
15K RPM HDD 250 MB/s~175 MB/s~13 hrs10^15
SATA SSD 550 MB/s~385 MB/s~5.8 hrs10^17
NVMe SSD 3,500 MB/s~2,450 MB/s~54 min10^17

URE Rates, RAID 5 vs RAID 6 and the Rebuild Window Risk Window

RAID rebuild time is the duration during which a degraded RAID array reconstructs data onto a replacement drive after a disk failure. During a RAID rebuild, the array operates in degraded mode — a state of elevated risk where a second drive failure would cause irreversible data loss in RAID 5, RAID 50, and single-parity configurations. The rebuild process must read data from all surviving member drives to reconstruct parity and write the regenerated data to the new replacement drive, making the rebuild I/O intensive and placing maximum stress on the remaining disks at exactly the moment they are most likely to fail. Learn more: calculate RAID array usable capacity and fault tolerance.

RAID 5 rebuild time for large-capacity drives has become a critical risk factor in modern storage arrays. A 16 TB nearline SAS or SATA HDD in a RAID 5 array may take 24–72 hours to rebuild even at sustained sequential read speeds, because the effective rebuild throughput is reduced by production I/O load and by the physical limitations of spinning media. During this entire rebuild window, the array has zero fault tolerance — if any remaining drive fails or returns an unrecoverable read error (URE), all data in the array is lost. This vulnerability is why RAID 6 and RAID 10 are now recommended for drives larger than 4 TB. You might also need: estimate SSD write endurance during RAID rebuild.

Uncorrectable Read Errors (UREs) present the most underappreciated risk during RAID rebuilds. A standard enterprise HDD has a URE rate of approximately 1 bit error per 10^15 bits read. For a RAID 5 array with eight 8 TB drives, the rebuild process reads 56 TB of data — about 4.48 × 10^14 bits — giving a URE probability of roughly 30% per rebuild event. With consumer-grade drives rated at 10^14 bits, the same rebuild carries a 96% chance of encountering a URE. NVMe SSD and SATA SSD arrays have URE rates of 10^17 or better, making SSD RAID 5 significantly safer than HDD RAID 5 during rebuilds, even at large capacities. See also: calculate ZFS RAIDZ usable capacity.

URE Probability, Drive Failure Rates and Rebuild Assumptions

  • Rebuild times assume sequential read throughput. Random I/O workloads reduce effective rebuild speed by 30–60%.
  • RAID 6 provides a second parity drive, allowing one additional drive failure during rebuild without data loss. Always use RAID 6 for HDD arrays with drives larger than 4 TB.
  • Hot spares reduce rebuild start latency from hours (manual replacement) to seconds (automatic rebuild trigger).
  • URE probability formula: P ≈ 1 − (1 − 1/URE_rate)^(total_bits_read). For total bits read: surviving_drives × capacity_bytes × 8 bits.
  • Enterprise storage controllers throttle rebuild I/O to 20–30% of drive bandwidth to limit production impact, significantly extending rebuild time.
  • RAID 10 rebuilds only need to read from a single mirror partner drive, making it far faster and safer than RAID 5/6 for the same drive capacity.